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Weather moves totals. The market is slow to price it.

Select weather-driven picks, timestamped at release and documented publicly after the event begins.

WeatherBet.us logo combining storm weather, football, and golf
Record: 2026–current · 73 graded · 8 pending · View details

Weather bets: 48–18 · +14.772u

Hedges/cash outs: 4–2 · +2.995u

Total: +17.767u

Record: 2023–2025 · FOOTBALL ONLY · 67% · flat 1u result units · View details
29–14 · +15.000u
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Published publicly 15 minutes after the event starts
Every play

Public picks ledger

Every pick, including plays in progress.

Picks appear here 15 minutes after the scheduled event start. Open plays show as pending until the result is graded.

  1. NCAA FootballPending

    Georgia @ Alabama — Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL

    Alabama Under 55.5 · 4u

    Line at release
    55.5 (-110)
    Released
    Tue, Oct 6, 1:28 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET
    Score
    Pending
  2. NCAA FootballPending

    Duke @ Georgia Tech — Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA

    Georgia Tech Under 50.5 · 4u

    Line at release
    50.5 (-110)
    Released
    Tue, Oct 6, 1:28 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET
    Score
    Pending
  3. NCAA FootballPending

    Indiana @ Nebraska — Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE

    Nebraska Under 51.5 · 4u

    Line at release
    51.5 (-110)
    Released
    Tue, Oct 6, 1:28 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET
    Score
    Pending
  4. NFLLoss

    Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants

    Under 44.5 · 4u

    Line at release
    44.5 (-110)
    Released
    Tue, Oct 6, 1:30 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    24–36 (60)
  5. NCAA FootballLoss

    Notre Dame @ North Carolina

    Under 55.5 · 2u (live)

    Line at release
    55.5
    Released
    Tue, Oct 6, 1:31 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET
    Score
    37–26 (63)
  6. NCAA FootballVoid

    Alabama @ Mississippi State

    Under 60.5 · 4u

    Line at release
    60.5 (-110)
    Released
    Tue, Oct 6, 1:31 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET
    Score
    Cashed out before kick — −0.5u
  7. NCAA FootballWin

    Louisville @ NC State

    Under 59.5 · 4u

    Line at release
    59.5 (-115)
    Released
    Tue, Oct 6, 1:31 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET
    Score
    28–31 (59)
  8. NCAA FootballVoid

    Auburn @ Tennessee

    Under 54.5 · 4u

    Line at release
    54.5 (-115)
    Released
    Tue, Oct 6, 1:31 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET
    Score
    Cashed out even — 0.0u
  9. NFLPending

    Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants — MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

    Under 43 · 4u

    Line at release
    43 (-115)
    Released
    Mon, Sep 21, 10:25 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Nor'easter — wind/rain corridor; may hedge/cash if storm does not materialize

  10. NCAA FootballPending

    Virginia Tech @ Boston College — Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, MA

    Under 52.5 · 3u

    Line at release
    52.5 (-115)
    Released
    Mon, Sep 21, 10:24 AM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Sep 26, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Nor'easter — wind/rain corridor; may hedge/cash if storm does not materialize

  11. NCAA FootballPending

    Army @ Temple — Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA (grass)

    Under 48.5 · 3u

    Line at release
    48.5 (-105)
    Released
    Mon, Sep 21, 10:22 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Sep 25, 4:00 PM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Nor'easter — wind/rain corridor; may hedge/cash if storm does not materialize

  12. MLBWin

    Blue Jays @ Orioles — Oriole Park at Camden Yards

    Under 7.5 · 1u

    Line at release
    7.5 (-115)
    Released
    Wed, Sep 23, 12:08 AM ET
    Event start
    Wed, Sep 23, 6:35 PM ET
    Score
    TOR 2–BAL 4 · 6 runs

    Windy and blowing in at Camden Yards.

  13. MLBLoss

    Marlins @ Cubs — Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

    Under 6.5

    Line at release
    6.5 (+100)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 22, 2:00 PM ET
    Event start
    Tue, Sep 22, 7:40 PM ET
    Score
    MIA 8–CHC 2 · 10 runs

    Windy and blowing in.

  14. MLBLoss

    Rays @ Yankees — Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

    Under 6.5

    Line at release
    6.5 (-115)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 22, 2:01 PM ET
    Event start
    Tue, Sep 22, 7:05 PM ET
    Score
    TB 6–NYY 1 · 7 runs

    Windy and blowing in.

  15. MLBWin

    Rays @ Yankees — Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

    Under 6.5

    Line at release
    +115
    Released
    Mon, Sep 21, 5:20 PM ET
    Event start
    Tue, Sep 22, 1:05 PM ET
    Score
    2-0 Yankees, total 2

    Sustained wind ~13–14 mph from E/NE blowing IN at Yankee Stadium; dry; Hard Rock alt Under 6.5 (+115) vs 7.5 (−150).

  16. NFLWin

    Minnesota @ Chicago

    Caleb Williams Pass Yds Under 229.5

    Line at release
    -115
    Released
    Sun, Sep 20, 4:40 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    138 pass yds
  17. NFLWin

    Minnesota @ Chicago

    Wentz Pass Yds Under 217.5

    Line at release
    -115
    Released
    Sun, Sep 20, 4:40 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    143 pass yds
  18. NFLWin

    Minnesota @ Chicago

    Aaron Jones Rush Att Over 14.5

    Line at release
    -125
    Released
    Sun, Sep 20, 4:40 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    23 rush att
  19. NFLWin

    Minnesota @ Chicago

    Swift Rush Att Over 14.5

    Line at release
    -105
    Released
    Sun, Sep 20, 4:39 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    16 rush att
  20. NFLWin

    Minnesota @ Chicago

    Monangai Rush Att Over 8.5

    Line at release
    -120
    Released
    Sun, Sep 20, 4:39 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    10 rush att
  21. NFLWin

    Green Bay @ Jets

    Under 44.5

    Line at release
    -110
    Released
    Sun, Sep 20, 4:38 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    Final total 37
  22. NFLWin

    Pittsburgh @ New England

    Under 41.5

    Line at release
    -110
    Released
    Sun, Sep 20, 4:38 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    Final total 23
  23. NFLWin

    Minnesota @ Chicago

    Under 48.5

    Line at release
    -115
    Released
    Sun, Sep 20, 4:37 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    MIN 9 - CHI 3 (total 12)
  24. NCAA FootballLoss

    Eastern Michigan @ Wisconsin

    Under 51.5

    Line at release
    -110
    Released
    Sun, Sep 20, 4:37 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Sep 19, 12:30 PM ET
    Score
    54-10 (64 pts)
  25. NCAA FootballWin

    Arizona State @ Kansas (Wembley)

    Under 43.5

    Line at release
    -105
    Released
    Sun, Sep 20, 4:36 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Sep 19, 12:00 PM ET
    Score
    24-17 (41 pts)
  26. GolfPending

    Biltmore Championship Asheville — Round 1

    Zac Blair Under 69.5 (R1) · 0.75u

    Line at release
    u69.5 (-110)
    Released
    Mon, Sep 21, 11:19 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Sep 18, 8:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending
  27. GolfPending

    Biltmore Championship Asheville — Round 1

    Jackson Suber Under 69.5 (R1) · 0.75u

    Line at release
    u69.5 (-140)
    Released
    Mon, Sep 21, 11:18 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Sep 18, 8:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending
  28. NCAA FootballLoss

    Texas Tech @ Oregon State

    Under 52.5 · 2u

    Line at release
    52.5 (−110)
    Released
    Sat, Sep 12, 8:09 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Sep 12, 7:30 PM ET
    Score
    59

    Wet Corvallis — showers at Reser.

  29. NCAA FootballWin

    UCF @ Pitt

    Under 37.5 · 2u

    Line at release
    37.5 (−115)
    Released
    Sat, Sep 12, 8:08 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Sep 12, 3:30 PM ET
    Score
    19

    Rain and storms at Acrisure. Booked the under in the 3rd.

  30. NCAA FootballVoid

    Wofford @ Kent State

    Under 47.5 · 2u

    Line at release
    47.5 (−125)
    Released
    Sat, Sep 12, 8:15 PM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Sep 12, 12:00 PM ET
    Score
    cashed 1258 of 2000

    Steady rain first half at Dix; wind not the story.

  31. MLBWin

    Nationals @ Padres (Petco)

    Under 8.5 1u

    Line at release
    8.5 (-125)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 11:02 PM ET
    Event start
    Mon, Sep 7, 9:40 PM ET
    Score
    5 runs

    WNW–NNW blowing-in at Petco

  32. NCAA FootballLoss

    UNLV @ Hawai‘i

    Over 51.5 1.75u

    Line at release
    51.5 (-110)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 11:07 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 6, 12:00 AM ET
    Score
    27
  33. NCAA FootballWin

    UNLV @ Hawai‘i

    Under 56.5 2u

    Line at release
    56.5 (-110)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 11:04 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Sep 6, 12:00 AM ET
    Score
    27
  34. Aussie FootballWin

    Geelong v Carlton

    Over 159.5 · 0.9u

    Line at release
    o159.5 (-115)
    Released
    Fri, Sep 4, 6:19 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Sep 4, 5:40 AM ET
    Score
    181

    Rain too spotty and wind not high enough for the under — going Over instead.

  35. Aussie FootballLoss

    Geelong v Carlton

    Under 168.5

    Line at release
    u168.5 (-115)
    Released
    Fri, Sep 4, 6:03 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Sep 4, 5:40 AM ET
    Score
    181

    MCG window ~13 mph sustained (Euro/GFS/ICON), gusts mid-30s to low-40s, rain in the mix (BOM wetter than Euro).

  36. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Viktor Hovland over 67.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o67.5 (-140)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 10:48 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 3:30 PM ET
    Score
    72

    Afternoon conditions firming; hard pins; back tees on 8 and 15.

  37. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Ryan Gerard over 68.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o68.5 (+110)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 10:46 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 3:00 PM ET
    Score
    72

    Afternoon conditions firming; hard pins; back tees on 8 and 15.

  38. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Adam Scott over 68.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o68.5 (+115)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 10:44 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 2:30 PM ET
    Score
    72

    Afternoon conditions firming; hard pins; back tees on 8 and 15.

  39. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Ludvig Åberg over 67.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o67.5 (-115)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 10:42 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 2:30 PM ET
    Score
    71

    Afternoon conditions firming; hard pins; back tees on 8 and 15.

  40. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Rory McIlroy over 67.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o67.5 (+110)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 10:39 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 2:15 PM ET
    Score
    69

    Afternoon conditions firming; hard pins; back tees on 8 and 15.

  41. GolfLoss

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Min Woo Lee over 68.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o68.5 (+105)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 10:36 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 2:00 PM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon conditions firming; hard pins; back tees on 8 and 15.

  42. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Russell Henley over 67.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o67.5 (-125)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 10:34 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 1:45 PM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon conditions firming; hard pins; back tees on 8 and 15.

  43. GolfLoss

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Jacob Bridgeman over 68.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o68.5 (+100)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 10:32 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 1:30 PM ET
    Score
    68

    Afternoon conditions firming; hard pins; back tees on 8 and 15.

  44. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Chris Gotterup over 67.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o67.5 (-120)
    Released
    Sun, Aug 30, 1:42 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 1:26 PM ET
    Score
    Pending
  45. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Justin Rose over 68.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o68.5 (-105)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 10:30 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 1:15 PM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon conditions firming; hard pins; back tees on 8 and 15.

  46. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Cameron Young over 67.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o67.5 (-110)
    Released
    Sun, Aug 30, 1:42 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 1:14 PM ET
    Score
    70
  47. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Si Woo Kim over 67.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o67.5 (-125)
    Released
    Tue, Sep 8, 10:29 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 1:00 PM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon conditions firming; hard pins; back tees on 8 and 15.

  48. GolfWin

    Tour Championship — Round 4

    Sam Burns over 67.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o67.5 (-110)
    Released
    Sun, Aug 30, 1:43 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 30, 12:44 PM ET
    Score
    Pending
  49. NFLWin

    Houston Texans @ Carolina Panthers — NFL Preseason

    1H Under 19.5 · 1u

    Line at release
    u19.5 (-105)
    Released
    Fri, Aug 28, 7:06 PM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM ET
    Score
    HOU 3–CAR 6 · 9 first-half points

    Rain has developed behind the front that moved through Charlotte and is expected to last through at least part of the first half.

  50. NFLWin

    Houston Texans @ Carolina Panthers — NFL Preseason

    Under 37.5 · 1u

    Line at release
    u37.5 (-120)
    Released
    Fri, Aug 28, 7:06 PM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Aug 28, 7:00 PM ET
    Score
    HOU 13–CAR 16 · 29 total points

    Rain has developed behind the front that moved through Charlotte and is expected to last through at least part of the first half.

  51. MLBWin

    Yankees @ Cubs — Aug 2

    Under 6.5 · 1u

    Line at release
    u6.5
    Released
    Sat, Aug 1, 11:30 PM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Aug 2, 2:20 PM ET
    Score
    NYY 2–CHC 1 · 3 runs

    Sustained 16 mph winds were forecast blowing in at Wrigley Field.

  52. MLBLoss

    Yankees @ Cubs

    Under 6.5 · 1u

    Line at release
    u6.5
    Released
    Sat, Aug 1, 11:15 AM ET
    Event start
    Sat, Aug 1, 7:15 PM ET
    Score
    NYY 2–CHC 5 · 7 runs

    Sustained winds of 15+ mph are blowing in at Wrigley Field.

  53. GolfWin

    3M Open — Round 2

    Rasmus Højgaard over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-150)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  54. GolfLoss

    3M Open — Round 2

    Mackenzie Hughes over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-150)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  55. GolfWin

    3M Open — Round 2

    Max Greyserman over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-120)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  56. GolfLoss

    3M Open — Round 2

    Jordan Smith over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-105)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  57. GolfWin

    3M Open — Round 2

    Richard Hoey over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-140)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  58. GolfLoss

    3M Open — Round 2

    Mac Meissner over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-110)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  59. GolfWin

    3M Open — Round 2

    Max Homa over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-105)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  60. GolfWin

    3M Open — Round 2

    Jake Knapp over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (+110)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  61. GolfWin

    3M Open — Round 2

    Taylor Pendrith over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-140)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  62. GolfLoss

    3M Open — Round 2

    Hideki Matsuyama over 68.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o68.5 (-165)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  63. GolfWin

    3M Open — Round 2

    Scottie Scheffler over 67.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o67.5 (+105)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  64. GolfLoss

    3M Open — Round 2

    William Mouw over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-125)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  65. GolfWin

    3M Open — Round 2

    Keith Mitchell over 68.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o68.5 (-150)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  66. GolfLoss

    3M Open — Round 2

    Michael Brennan over 69.5 (R2) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-110)
    Released
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Fri, Jul 24, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    Afternoon winds will make it play harder than anticipated

  67. GolfLoss

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Ryan Fox over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o70.5 (-105)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  68. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Sam Burns over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-140)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  69. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Si Woo Kim over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-140)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  70. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Lucas Herbert over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o70.5 (-140)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  71. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Ludvig Åberg over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-105)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  72. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Ryan Gerard over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o70.5 (+100)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  73. GolfLoss

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o70.5 (-115)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  74. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Bryson DeChambeau over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-115)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  75. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Jackson Suber over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o70.5 (-120)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  76. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Eric Cole over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o70.5 (-110)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  77. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Xander Schauffele over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-115)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  78. GolfLoss

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Tommy Fleetwood over 68.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o68.5 (-165)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  79. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Cameron John over 71.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o71.5 (-140)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  80. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Daniel Brown over 70.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o70.5 (-140)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

  81. GolfWin

    The 154th Open — Round 4

    Hideki Matsuyama over 69.5 (R4) · 0.5u

    Line at release
    o69.5 (-165)
    Released
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Event start
    Sun, Jul 19, 5:00 AM ET
    Score
    Pending

    7/19/26 5:00 AM ET — WeatherBet on Sunday afternoon for the Open because of afternoon winds and firming-up conditions.

Here we go

We're finally doing it.

We're officially launching our weather betting service for anyone who wants to come along for the ride. Our specialty is sports betting built around our bread and butter: understanding how weather impacts football scoring.

We also bet golf, MLB, Aussie football, and other sports. More recently, we've found outstanding opportunities in the growing prediction markets.

For the past seven years, I've partnered with a well-known Vegas insider. It's been a great run.

Read our full story →

A little about me

I've been obsessed with weather since I was a kid—I probably should have become a meteorologist. I also played Division III college football, which gave me another perspective on how weather truly affects the game.

I've been making weather-based wagers for more than 20 years. About 10 years ago, I significantly increased my betting volume as my confidence in the edge grew.

How it works

Private research. Clear releases.

One angle, worked with discipline. Nothing releases because a weekend needs action.

01

We monitor

Our owners track the weather, venue, timing, and market privately. The working board and its calculations are never published.

02

We wait

Most events do not become picks. A release happens only when the complete internal review supports a position at a playable number.

03

We publish

Subscribers receive the pick, line at release, timestamp, and a concise explanation. Any later update is timestamped the same way.

Why patience matters

Quality over quantity. Patience over action.

Our plays are limited, and discipline is essential. Some weeks we bet games as much as a week ahead when the models look good. Conditions can change, and when they do, we may hedge most of a position or cash out fully.

If you're looking for action every day—or even every week—this probably isn't the right fit. We only bet when we believe the edge is there. If you're looking to add a proven, professional weather-based strategy to your recreational betting, you're in the right place. When the weather creates an edge, we'll be ready to capitalize.

Track record

Every play logged. Every play graded.

Overall, 2023–2025

29–14

67% on football weather bets

2023 season

10–6

63% for the season

2024 season

5–3

63% for the season

2025 season

14–5

74% for the season

The methodology was refined over two decades alongside a well-known professional gambler. Golf, 2026 season to date: 31–11 · +7.723u.

See every play, graded →

Subscription

What subscribers get

Timestamped picks

Every official position records exactly when it was published and the line available at release.

Concise release notes

A short explanation gives subscribers the context for the pick without publishing the underlying strategy.

Real-time updates

When an open position changes, subscribers receive a new timestamped instruction immediately.

Golf releases

Covered golf markets use the same pick, timestamp, line, and short-note format.

Results history

The complete graded ledger, the same one this page's record is computed from. Nothing is quietly dropped.

Pricing

One plan. Everything included.

First-year launch pricing

WeatherBet Subscription

$25/month

  • Every official NFL/NCAA football, Aussie Football, golf, and baseball pick we release
  • Line and timestamp recorded at release
  • Concise release notes and updates
  • Complete graded results history
Subscribe now

First-year launch pricing: $25 billed monthly through Whop. Cancel anytime from your account. No questionnaire or approval process.

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