Weather moves totals. We bet it first.
A capped, members-only service built on one edge: reading game-day weather before the market prices it. 29–14 (67%) on football weather bets across the last three seasons — every football play from those seasons logged on this site — after 20+ years betting weather totals at roughly 70%.
29–14
Last three football seasons, 67%
2023–2025 football weather bets — every play graded on the results page
14–5
2025 football season
Totals unders plus player props, every one graded on the results page
34–21
Golf, 2026 season to date
Up 14 units across winning score, cut line, and individual-round markets
20+ yrs
Betting weather totals
Around 70% historically — seasons before 2023 predate this site's public log
The story
Two passions, one edge
Our lead analyst played D-3 college football and has followed weather obsessively his whole life — more than twenty years ago, he combined the two. For the past seven years he partnered with a well-known professional gambler to get plays in with more outs. Every year started from zero, and every year he paid out.
How it works
One angle, worked with discipline
01
Forecast the chaos
We watch multiple weather models to pinpoint affected games up to a week out, and plays usually go in early in the week — before the line moves. Early-season showers and thunderstorms are harder to predict, so those plays wait until closer to kickoff or even in-game, with live radar verifying the forecast.
02
We take the under
Heavy rain and wind suppress passing, kicking, and scoring — so the play is almost always the under. Totals are the foundation, and game and player props, like a QB passing-yard under in a downpour, expand the card when books hang beatable numbers.
03
Manage the position
When the forecast or weather changes, we hedge — going back over — to limit exposure, monitored at all times. Low-vig peer-to-peer exchanges increasingly turn those hedges into middles. Members get every hedge alert.
Where we play
Three sports. One edge.
Football
The coreWhere the record was built. In a typical season, 10–20 weather totals form the foundation — sized accordingly — and game and player props can take the card to roughly 30–45 plays a year.
Golf
ExpansionBettable at multiple books now, well beyond the majors — tournament winning score, cut line, and player individual rounds. 34–21 and up 14 units in the 2026 season so far.
Baseball
In developmentBallpark wind and temperature effects on totals. A smaller edge worked selectively as the approach matures.
Why the cap
This edge only works small.
We bet early in the week because the number moves once weather gets priced in. That is also the constraint: if too many people are on our side, the line moves before releases finish going out, and the edge we sell disappears. So membership stops at 500. Hard cap. Beyond that, the waitlist.
Pricing
Planned founding pricing
Football Only
$50/mo
- Every football weather play — totals, game props, player props
- Early-week release timing, ahead of the line move
- Every hedge alert when the forecast shifts
All Sports
$100/mo
- Everything in Football Only
- Golf: winning score, cut line, and individual-round plays
- Baseball weather plays as they roll out
- Full weather write-up with every release
All Sports + AI
$200/mo
- Everything in All Sports
- AI weather assistant for your own game questions
- Instant alerts the moment plays and hedges release
Founding pricing — final tiers announced at launch.
Join the waitlist
500 seats. When they fill, this list is the only way in.
No spam. One weekly weather-angle email during the season.